Decision-making models and algorithms for managing a pipeline of capital construction projects
Abstract
The object of research is the process of implementing a pipeline of investment and construction projects. The subject of the research are decision-making models and algorithms for managing a pipeline of capital construction projects. The purpose of the study is to improve the efficiency of the portfolio management process by developing and testing in practice a decision-making methodology for managing a pipeline of capital construction projects. A study of the problem of project and portfolio management in relation to the construction industry of the Russian Federation is being carried out, confirmed by official statistics; review of existing models and methods of decision-making in project management and portfolio management.
A qualitative and mathematical description of the developed methodology and the general algorithm for its use, are presented and detailed by the description of the normalization algorithms of data regarding classifiers of key events and works, verification of compliance with the technological sequence of works, deadlines forecasting based on a simplified critical path method, calculation of project readiness based on the method of weight coefficients, aggregating performance data at the portfolio level.
The results of the approbation of the developed methodology on the portfolio of the targeted investment program of the Sakhalin Region based on the existing software solution are presented. A qualitative and quantitative comparison of management processes in similar projects where the implementation of the methodology was not carried out is presented. In conclusion, the findings were drawn about the effectiveness of the methodology based on the results of its practical testing, and directions for further development and improvement of the methodology were identified.Full Text:
PDF (Russian)References
Atanov, G.A. Modeling of educational subject area, or subject model of the learner [Text] / G.A. Atanov // Educational Technologies and Society, 2001. - С. 11
A. Zyablov, J.A. Kovalenko. Requirements for the Management System of Complex Engineering Project Timeframes [in Russian] // Systemotekhnika stroitelstva. Cyberphysical Construction Systems-2019, p. 199-202
E.N. Parfenova, J.N. Avilova. The need for portfolio project management in construction // Bulletin of V.G. Shukhov BSTU, No.1, 2018, 5 p.
GOST P 54870-2011. Project management. Requirements for project portfolio management, Date of introduction 2012-09-01
All Real Estate in Russia. News. [Electronic resource] System requirements: AdobeAcrobatReader. - URL: http://www.allproperty.ru/ (date of reference: 03.05.2022)
K.Yu. Kuznetsov, O.O. Kubanskaya, M.O. Grishin,I.V. Bocharova, NIR Development of science-based requirements for the development of construction organization projects (PIC) using information modeling technology , NAICS, 2020, 658 p.
Dikman L.G. Organization of construction production : a textbook for construction institutes / L.G. Dikman. - M. : ASV , 2006. - 608 с.
Polyakov A. N. American technocrats. Henry Lawrence Gantt. (Russian) // Management: magazine. - 2021. - № 1 (57) 2021. - С. 58 - 63.
Gusev E.V., Mukhametzanov Z.R. The concept of solving the problem of increasing the reliability of organizational and technological solutions // Volga Scientific Journal, 2014, No. 3.
James E. Kelly, Computers and Operations Research in Road Building. Operations Research, Computers and Management Decisions, Symposium Proceedings, Case Institute of Technology, January 31 - February 1 and 2, 1957
James E. Kelly and Morgan R. Walker, Critical Path Planning Scheduling. Proceedings of the Eastern Joint Computer Conference, p.p. 160-173, Dec. 1-3, 1959
James E. Kelly, Critical Path Planning and Scheduling: Mathematical Basis. Operations Research. James E. Kelly. vol.9, no 3, p.p.296-320, 1961.
D.G. Malcomb, J.H. Roseboom, C.E. Clark and W. Fazar, Applications of a Technique for research and development Program Evaluation, Operations Research, Vol.7, no 5, p.p.646-699, 1959
G. Malcomb et al, A Network Flow Comtutation for Project Cost Curves, Rand paper P-1947, Rand Corporation, March, 1960.
W. Fazar, The Origin of PERT, The Controller, Vol. 30, p.p. 598 ff., December, 1962.
S. P. Nikanorov. The PERT system. Its history, justification, application and evaluation // All-Union Research Institute for Technical and Economic Research and Information on Radioelectronics, 1963, 64 pp.
Pospelov G.S., Teiman A.I. Automation of Control Processes of Development of Large Systems and Complex Complexes // Izvestiya AS USSR, Technical Cybernetics, #4, 1963, - p.60-79
Avdeev Y.A. Method of critical path in production management / / Stroitelnaya Gazeta, September 15, 1963.
Golenko D.I. Statistical methods of network planning and management. - Nauka, Moscow, 1968, 400 p.
Livshits CE. Alternative models of stochastic network planning, MESI, Moscow, 1971.
Antonavichus K.A. Modeling and optimization in construction management, - Stroyizdat, Moscow, 1979, 197 p.
Pritsker, A.B.; et al., GERT: Graphical Evaluation and Review Techniques, Part I. Fundamentals-Part II. Probabilistic and Industrial Engineering Applications. J.Ind.Eng.,Vols 17(5) and 17(6), 1966.
Adelson-Velsky G.M., Voropaev V.I., Kalinovskaya S.S. Generalized network models of building production // At building sites of Russia, N4,5, 1971, pp.28-32, pp.23-26.
Voropayev V.I., Sheinberg M.V. et al. Generalized network models, CNIPIASS, Moscow, 1974,-118 p.
Voropaev V.I. Models and methods of scheduling in automated construction management systems, - Stroyizdat, Moscow, 1975,- 232 p.
NASA: 30th anniversary of the Apollo 11 moon landing; 30th anniversary of the Apollo 11 moon landing Archived 2 October 2002 at the Wayback Machine // BBC
Rakhmanin V. F. Problematic beginning and dramatic end of the development of the H1 launch vehicle // Engines : magazine. - М., 2013. - № 5 (89). - С. 36-42
Quentin W. Fleming, Joil M. Koppelman. The mastered volume methodology in project management, date of publication 21.07.2002
Quentin W. Fleming, Joil M. Koppelman. The mastered scope methodology...Introduction.
Rafael Sacks, Charles Eastman, Ghang Lee, Paul Teicholz: BIM Handbook, A Guide to Building Information Modeling For Owners, Designers, Engineers, Constructors and Facility Managers, Third Edition, 2018, Hoboken, New Jersey
Construction and commissioning of nuclear power plants [electronic resource]: IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency. - URL: https://www.iaea.org/ru/temy/stroitelstvo-i-vvod-v-ekspluataciyu-atomnyh-elektrostanciy (accessed 25.04.2022).
WBS Work Decomposition Structure [electronic resource]: Alt-Invest. - URL: https://www.cfin.ru/itm/project/wbs.shtml. (accessed 01.05.2022).
O.A. Barteneva. Project-portfolio methods of managing construction companies // Russian Entrepreneurship, 2011, №5 (2)
Henokh R.G. The building which was // M. Izdat. 1996.
A.V. Belovol, A.A. Klochko, E.V. Naboka, A.O. Skorkin, A.N. Shelkovoy. Simulation modeling in the problems of machine-building production in 2 volumes, Volume 1: textbook / edited by A.N. Shelkovoi// -H.: NTU "KhPI", 2016.-407 p.
Voropaev V.I. Project Management in Russia. - Moscow: Alans, 1995. - 225 с.
Aristov S.A. Imitation modeling of economic systems: Textbook. - Ekaterinburg: Izd vo Ural.gos.ekonuta. 2004
Kulikov Y.A. Simulation models and their application in construction management // Stroyizdat, Moscow, 1983, -224 p.
Sutt, Y. V. Simulation models of economic mechanism of building organization, Valguje, Tallinn, 1986.
Etkind Y.L. Automation of managerial decision making in industrial construction // Stroyizdat, Leningrad, 1982.
Designing the Organization of Construction Works and Accounting for them in the Production Process, 1930.
Flow in the Industrial and Civil Engineering, 1948, - 286 p.
Fundamentals of Construction Flow, 1961, - 414 p.
Guide to the body of knowledge on project management [Electronic resource]. URL: http:// pmpractice.ru/knowledgebase/normative/ (accessed 03.05.2022)
Mironenko N.V., Leonova O.V., Evolution of project management development in Russia and abroad RANKhigS // Management Consulting №6, 2017, 8 p.
Gorbachev M. I., Egorova M. S. Labor resources of the enterprise "Transneft - Central Siberia" JSC: assessment of need and efficiency of use, labor protection, social responsibility // Young Scientist. 2015. №10.4. С. 19-22.
GOST R 57363-2016 - Project management in construction. Activity of the project manager, date of introduction 2017-06-01
Saveliev I.V. On the problems of introducing ERP-systems in Russia // Economic science of modern Russia. 2011. №3 (54). С.187-189
BIM-technology (market of Russia), Information Modeling of Buildings and Structures, 28.12.2021, URL:https://www.tadviser.ru/index.php/Статья:BIM-технологии_(market_Russia) (date of reference: 03.05.2022)
DeMarco T. Deadline. A novel of project management. M. : Vershina, 2006.
Structure of Russia's GDP 2020 by sectors [electronic resource]. - URL https://bankiros.ru/wiki/term/struktura-vvp-rossii-po-otraslam (access date: 02.05.2022)
Barkalov S.A. Models and methods of construction project management / S.A. Barkalov, I.V. Burkova, P.N. Kurochka -Saratov: Publishing house "Higher Education", 2015-P. 461
Kolosova E.V., Novikov D.A., Tsvetkov A.V. K 61 Methods of mastered volume in operational project management. M.: OOO "SIC" Apostrof "2000g. -С.156
A new method of 4D-modeling of buildings, the journal "Science and Technology", 24.02.2021. [electronic resource] - URL:https://naukatehnika.com/metod-4d-modelirovaniya-zdanij.html (date of reference: 17.04.2022)
Farella, E.M.; Özdemir, E.; Remondino, F. 4D Building Reconstruction with Machine Learning and Historical Maps. Appl.Sci. 2021, 11 с.
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Abava Кибербезопасность IT Congress 2024
ISSN: 2307-8162